Intel: Notebooks, Tablets Eradicated in a Decade
In the near future, we won't have tablets, netbooks and notebooks says Intel.
During his keynote address at the SEMICON West conference in San Francisco, vice president of Intel's architecture group Rama Skukla said that the lines between a netbook, laptop and tablet are disappearing faster than today's designers can even realize. That said, it's quite possible that these form factors will be gone within ten years.
"It's going to be very difficult to see where one device goes and the next one takes off," he told the audience. Even today, the concept of PCs is already outdated. He added that future PCs will probably serve as "personal companions" instead of bulky devices, synchronizing around the owner in an individual cloud of information that users will be able to share with others or keep private.
To achieve this oneness with the cloud, Skukla suggested to the captive audience that hardware manufacturers will have to address this cloudy trend by working closely with software developers and distributors so that end-users will have a solid way to manage their identity while also experiencing a seamless, secure computing environment.
Intel is already gearing up for this change, he said. In fact, the industry will see major advances in processor technology within the next five years. Graphics performance on mobile chips alone is expected to rise by a factor of 12 by 2015 – just look at what Intel has achieved with its second generation Sandy Bridge processors.
Unfortunately, Skukla didn't really explain what he envisioned consumers would actually use in ten years. Looking back on the last decade however, desktops still look like desktops, laptops still look like laptops (although they've gotten bigger and thinner), and consoles still look like consoles. The biggest change that's taken place, or so it seems, is in the mobile sector. Tens years ago phones were bulky, ugly and had enough brains to store a few phone numbers; now they can load Flash-based websites, play Angry Birds and stream video content straight to our palm.
So if all of our familiar mobile form factors will be eradicated in the future, what will we use? Smart-watches that can project HD+ imagery on any surface while detecting our finger motions, making mobile keyboards obsolete? Will it connect to Bluetooth glasses that are capable of displaying HD video and audio directly to our eyes and ears? Will the desktop grow wheels, a domed head, and toot electronic beeps while it projects holograms for our entertainment?
There's definitely some fun with speculating.
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I don't really believe tablets and notebooks will go away anytime soon. However, the line between them will. Look at what Asus did with the transformer: a netbook and tablet in one. It's still crude, but I think future laptops will become so thin and light and touch enabled they essentially become tablets in their own right.
And as for new revolutionary devices: the recent Mozilla concept phone with pico projectors seems like a step in the right direction.
But perhaps most important will be the demise of the computer as the only hub: everything is becoming a mini computer in its own right. Soon enough, your smart fridge will tell the computer to order more milk, your bed will warn you to replace the matress and so on.
Already, my electric toothbrush tells me to put less pressure on it and that the brush is becoming filthy. Cars alert you when they need a checkup. Classroom blackboards ask the teacher if he wants a graphical illustration of what he's explaining and so on. That's revolutionary.
"just look at what Intel has achieved with its second generation Sandy Bridge processors."
- The joke of the year... hahahahahahahahahahaaaaaaaa!
somehow i don't quite think desktops will disappear, nor will tablets or smart phones especially android and iOS devices. though i wouldn't want to write a full novel on one of these, they are good for what we use them for though.
I think netbooks will rise again as people will get fed up typing on a screen, although voice recognition could improve. Once netbooks become more powerful, and the social stigma of bashing away in a cafe goes, the netbook will become king.
I think netbooks will rise again as people will get fed up typing on a screen, although voice recognition could improve. Once netbooks become more powerful, and the social stigma of bashing away in a cafe goes, the netbook will become king.
Perhaps when people learn to use Linux. Face it, Windows is ultimately too heavy for use on a netbook (even a recent one) and Chrome OS isn't for everyone.